Of that, around 4 points can be explained by an increase in same-sex behavior. The author provides a high-point estimate of an 11-point increase in LGBT identity between 20 among Americans under 30.Whereas in 2008 attitudes and behavior were similar, by 2021 LGBT identification was running at twice the rate of LGBT sexual behavior. Men and women under 30 who reported a sexual partner in the last five years dropped from around 96 percent exclusively heterosexual in the 1990s to 92 percent exclusively heterosexual in 2021. When we look at homosexual behavior, we find that it has grown much less rapidly than LGBT identification.The most popular LGBT identity is bisexual, which is significantly more common among women than men.The UK’s Office for National Statistics finds that 7.6 percent of those 16-24 identify as LGBT, which can be taken as a low-end estimate for that country. Nonetheless, these government sources indicate that the trend is real, even if less reliable surveys might exaggerate it. This caveat must be kept in mind in understanding this report. Government data from Canada and the UK indicate that surveys might be overestimating the extent of the rise in LGBT identity.Today, among those under 30, a wide range of surveys converge on a number of around 20 percent. The last decade has seen a precipitous rise in the share of Americans identifying as LGBT, particularly among the youngest adults._ Eric Kaufmann, professor of politics, Birkbeck College, University of London Research Fellow, Center for the Study of Partisanship and Ideology (CSPI).
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